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India’s Russian oil bet and Trump’s trade leverage | News in Depth

India’s reliance on Russian oil is driven by price, not politics. Since 2022, India ramped up Russian oil imports from ~3% to ~35%, attracted by discounts of up to $15 per barrel—“too good to say no.”

India has shown it can switch suppliers quickly, but cheap crude will keep finding buyers even if New Delhi reduces purchases. The United States is using trade pressure, not ideology, to influence India: under Donald Trump, tariff reductions are linked to curbing Russian oil imports—a mix of commercial diplomacy and strategic coercion.

Russian energy revenues would fall but not collapse. Discounted oil would likely be redirected to other buyers, meaning Russia can keep funding its economy despite sanctions.

Elon Musk’s SpaceX–AI merger is a high-risk moonshot. According to TVP World’s Business Editor, Kuba Kapiszewski, Musk is betting on space-based AI infrastructure, but the $1.25 trillion valuation of SpaceX far outpaces current revenues—raising concerns of overpromising.

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#India #Russia #Trump #geopolitics

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