This week in Ukraine, host Don Arleth was joined by Oleksandr Kraiev, Director of the North America Program at Ukrainian PRISM, for a discussion on whether Ukraine could have rejected Donald Trump’s proposed ceasefire.
Following what was seen as a gesture of goodwill, Russia launched a massive drone and missile strike on Ukraine that levelled part of an apartment block in Kyiv, killing 24 people, including three children.
Kraiev argues that Ukraine, despite the risks, cannot fully reject U.S.-backed initiatives and remains dependent on continued American political and military support, even when proposals such as recent ceasefire ideas appear to favor Russian strategic interests. He noted that temporary pauses in fighting can backfire, allowing Russia to regroup and later intensify strikes, which makes Kyiv increasingly cautious about agreeing to similar arrangements without concrete guarantees or the presence of Western security forces.
The conversation also explored whether recent Russian signals about ending the war were sincere, with Kraiev expressing deep skepticism and linking such statements to broader geopolitical signaling involving the United States and China. He emphasized that figures like Xi Jinping hold significant leverage over Moscow but may be reluctant to use it fully, as both a strong and a weakened Russia carry strategic risks for China’s regional ambitions.
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