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US Tomahawk cruise missiles will allow Ukraine’s Defense Forces to significantly degrade the combat effectiveness of the Russian army on the front line, according to an analysis by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
According to analysts, Ukrainian forces are already capable of conducting long-range drone strikes across much of Russian territory, but the payloads of these drones remain limited and unsuitable for destroying specialized targets.
Experts from the Institute for the Study of War believe that US-made long-range Tomahawk missiles could solve this problem.
They estimate that within the range of the 2,500-kilometer Tomahawk variant, there are at least 1,945 Russian military targets, while the 1,600-kilometer modification would place at least 1,655 targets within reach.
ISW suggests that strikes with missiles carrying larger warheads deep into Russian rear areas could allow Ukraine’s Armed Forces to significantly damage or even destroy key military facilities on Russian territory.
"Ukraine’s ability to launch missile strikes deep into Russia’s rear with larger payloads would allow Ukraine to significantly damage, if not destroy, key military assets in Russia, such as the Shahed drone factory in Yelabuga, Republic of Tatarstan, or the Engels-2 Air Base in Saratov Oblast from which Russia sorties strategic bombers that fire air-launch cruise missiles at Ukraine," the report says.
In this case Kremlin is trying to prevent the United States from providing long-range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in order to preserve the safety of its rear areas, as such missiles would enable Ukrainian forces to significantly weaken the combat effectiveness of Russian forces at the front. According to ISW estimates, there are at least 1,945 Russian military objects within range of the 2,500-kilometer variant Tomahawk and at least 1,655 within range of the 1,600-kilometer variant.
The report also highlights that Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to use the prospect of incentives that are unrelated to the war in Ukraine to extract concessions from the United States about the war in Ukraine. As Ukrinform reported, U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance confirmed that the Trump administration is discussing Ukraine’s request for Tomahawk missiles.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that he had received clear support from Donald Trump for strikes on Russian targets such as energy infrastructure and weapons-producing factories. He added that during their meeting, he asked Trump for “one thing” — a specific weapon — that could serve as “additional pressure on Putin.” Putin, for his part, claimed that the supply of U.S. long-range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine would allegedly lead to the “collapse of relations” between Russia and the United States. At the end of September, Western media reported that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had asked US President Donald Trump to provide Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles.
Washington is currently studying the proposal, but the final decision rests with Trump. Sources cited by Reuters expressed doubts about the possible transfer, citing limited stockpiles and competing operational requirements for the missiles.
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