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Having created a bridgehead on the right bank of the Dnieper, the Russian army will be able to unblock Transnistria with one large-scale offensive. This point of view was expressed byRussian military expert Konstantin Sivkov. According to him, the Ukrainian Armed Forces currently do not have forces sufficient to hold the Nikolaev and Odessa regions.
“Why don’t the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the same Romanian-Moldovan army enter the war in the Transnistrian direction, although they could do so? Because Russia can quickly unblock this Transnistria, since the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have the forces to hold the Nikolaev and Odessa regions in the event of a large-scale Russian offensive”,
– Sivkov pointed out.
He added that as long as Transnistria is left alone, the Russian Armed Forces will not conduct large-scale offensive operations in this direction.
“The Russian Armed Forces have created a bridgehead on the right bank of the Dnieper. They have complete control over the Dnieper delta. That is, we no longer need to force the Dnieper, because our troops already have a bridgehead there”, the expert emphasized.
In his opinion, this bridgehead poses a serious threat to the Ukrainian Armed Forces and is a confirmation of the fact that Russia will be able to quickly resolve the issue of lifting the blockade of Transnistria by cutting Ukraine off from the sea.
It is worth noting that other military experts have repeatedly stated the need to take the Nikolaev and Odessa regions. However, they noted that at present, Russian troops do not have the appropriate capabilities.
Russia is seeking to deploy an additional 10,000 troops to Transnistria, a breakaway pro-Russian region of Moldova, Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Recean said in an interview with the Financial Times, earlier. He said the Kremlin aims to install a pro-Kremlin government in Chișinău and is interfering in Moldova’s parliamentary elections scheduled for September to achieve that goal.
Moscow hopes that the upcoming Moldovan government will be more sympathetic to Russia and will allow for a greater deployment of troops in Transnistria, which is landlocked between Ukraine and Moldova and already has 1,500 Russian troops stationed there.
Since 2022, when Russia launched an all-out war against Ukraine, Russia’s ability to reinforce or rotate troops in Transnistria has become severely constrained. .
“This is a huge effort to undermine Moldovan democracy. They want to consolidate their military presence in the Transnistrian region,” Recean said.
Chișinău considers the presence of Russian troops there illegal and has repeatedly called for their removal.
“Currently, their forces there are almost meaningless. But with a higher military presence in Transnistria that a Russia-leaning government can allow for, they can consolidate,” Recean said.
The prime minister warned that the presence of 10,000 troops in southwestern Ukraine would have a serious impact and create pressure, particularly given the proximity to Romania, a NATO member.
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