Russia’s once-dominant air defenses are cracking under relentless Ukrainian long-range strikes. As winter 2025 approaches, experts warn Moscow is facing its first truly symmetrical air war—and the results are already visible in refinery fires, blackout-hit regions, and gaps across the Moscow oblast. Ukraine’s expanding drone arsenal is exposing Russia’s shortages and mounting vulnerabilities. How much more pressure can the Kremlin withstand before its defenses collapse entirely? The coming months will reveal whether Russia can adapt.
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