Russia wasn’t meant to lose this war, but the assumptions are collapsing. After years of grinding conflict, Ukraine is slowing Russian advances, reversing territory gains, and straining Moscow’s manpower and economy. What once looked inevitable now appears uncertain as the battlefield shifts in 2026. With casualties rising and momentum fading, the question is no longer when Russia wins, but whether it can win at all. And the answer may already be unfolding in real time…
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