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Azerbaijan refused to attend a meeting of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) Economic Council in Moscow, the Azerbaijani outlet Trend reported, citing an informed source.
Azerbaijan is typically represented at CIS meetings by First Deputy Prime Minister Yagub Eyubov.
“Yagub Eyubov will not attend this event,” the source said. “The decision stems from recent developments in Yekaterinburg, the downing of an AZAL aircraft by Russian forces late last year, and Moscow’s unwillingness to take adequate steps to resolve these issues.” The Moscow Times notes that relations between Russia and Azerbaijan have experienced two major flare-ups over the past year.
In late December 2024, an AZAL passenger plane crashed over Kazakhstan, reportedly after being struck by a Russian air defense system in Grozny during a Ukrainian drone raid on the city. The crash killed 38 people.
“Baku blamed Moscow for the incident, accusing Russian forces of shooting down the plane and demanding a full investigation and compensation for the victims,” The Moscow Times reported. “In response, Azerbaijani authorities shut down the Russian cultural center Rossotrudnichestvo — known as the Russian House — in Baku and blocked a number of pro-Kremlin media outlets, including Tsargrad, owned by billionaire Konstantin Malofeev, and Match TV, part of the Gazprom-Media group.”
Tensions escalated again in June 2025 after mass raids and detentions targeting Azerbaijani nationals in Yekaterinburg, stemming from years-old investigations. During the operation, two brothers, Ziyaddin and Huseyn Safarov — suspects in the murder of businessman Yunis Pashayev — were killed.
Azerbaijan’s Foreign Ministry demanded a full investigation, accusing Russia’s FSB of the “brutal murder” of Azerbaijani citizens, and summoned the Russian ambassador in Baku to deliver a formal note of protest.
For decades, Russia held a de facto monopoly on east-west trade across the South Caucasus, but at present that monopoly is now collapsing. Turkey has placed it at the core of the Middle Corridor, a Turkic-led alternative to Russia’s North-South Corridor. But it also signals the collapse of Russia’s post-Soviet dominance in the region, where it once acted as the main broker of ceasefires, gatekeeper of trade routes, and enforcer of regional rules. Moscow no longer controls transit or diplomacy in the South Caucasus, and its traditional areas of influence are now sidelined. Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey are pushing forward with joint initiatives entirely outside of Russia’s orbit. For the first time since the Soviet collapse, Russia finds itself excluded from the region’s strategic architecture. The shift is even more dramatic when considering the actors involved, because Armenia and Azerbaijan were at war just years ago, and now have chosen to build peace with each other rather than rely on Russia. Their most recent meeting, where they advanced the corridor and signed a peace agreement, was held in Abu Dhabi, not Moscow; that choice alone illustrates how far Russia’s influence has fallen.
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