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Despite their attempts to advance, Russian forces have not succeeded in establishing a buffer zone. The heaviest fighting is taking place in the Sumy and Kharkiv regions. Andrii Demchenko, spokesperson for the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine, stated this on Radio Charter. "Putin noted that this is about 20 km along the border, but specifically within Ukrainian territory. In doing so, he plans to secure Russia’s border areas so that Ukraine cannot inflict damage. But in reality, the enemy has no way of achieving these plans. Of course, Russia and Russian units, tasked with creating this buffer zone, are trying to expand their zone of control along the border and advance deeper into our country’s territory. But they have not achieved any significant success," Demchenko said. A spokesperson for the State Border Guard Service added that the Russian army is most actively pressing on Ukrainian positions in the Khotyn, Yunakivka, and Krasnopillia districts in the Sumy region, as well as in the Zolochiv and Vovchansk districts in the Kharkiv region. "For a long time now, the enemy has been attacking our positions in the direction of the town of Vovchansk, particularly near Vovchanski Khutory. But they have been unable to advance. In January, the enemy deployed significant forces within the Vovchansk district toward the settlements of Dihtiarne, Nesterne, and Krugle—using infantry units specifically to attack the positions held by the "Gart" Border Guard Brigade, in an attempt to breach both the border line and our defensive lines—and advance deeper into Ukraine. But over the course of three weeks of fighting, the enemy suffered losses—300 killed, 300 wounded—and now their activity has significantly decreased," said the State Border Guard Service spokesperson. The State Border Guard Service has not observed any significant buildup of reserves or preparations for new offensives, says Demchenko. According to him, the Russian army continues to attempt to advance deeper into Ukraine across the border, and there is a rotation of Russian combat units, but the reinforcements arriving are primarily intended to replenish losses; they are insufficient for a massive offensive. Recall, Russian army has carried out several platoon-level assaults in three regions of Ukraine in recent days. However, these attacks are unlikely to significantly affect the course of the occupiers’ spring-summer offensive in 2026. In particular, these include two mechanized assaults of approximately platoon size east of Chasovoye Yar, a motorized assault using Ural trucks and motorcycles near Svyatopetrivka, and another mechanized assault in the Kucherovo area of Kursk Oblast.
The ISW emphasizes that they found no evidence that these assaults led to tactically significant successes, and three of the four assaults apparently did not go beyond the contact line. Analysts suggest that these actions could have been reconnaissance in nature – to identify Ukrainian positions and test defenses before possible larger offensives. The Russians could also conduct situational assaults aimed at exploiting tactical advantages near Chasovy Yar, Svyatopetrivka, and Kucherov. The report notes that Russia may conduct similar assaults along the entire front line to disperse Ukrainian forces and distract them from key areas, including the Sloviansk area. At the same time, ISW emphasizes that to achieve a tangible effect, the Russian army will have to use significantly more forces and resources over a long period of time. In addition, analysts note that the Russian Federation is trying to create the impression of a simultaneous offensive in several directions, but such actions dissipate resources and do not produce significant results. An exception may be the direction northwest of Hulyaipol. “Only the offensive northwest of Hulyaipol took place in an area that Russian forces reportedly reinforced with strategic reserves, and Russian forces continue to experience difficulties in achieving their spring-summer offensive objectives,” the report said.
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