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Israel’s attack on Iran occurred within the context of a broader Western strategy aimed at changing the political regime in Tehran and dismantling the North-South and East-West trade corridors, Izvestia writes. By gaining control over Iran, the United States and Israel would effectively secure a dominant position in the Caspian region, which would open the possibility of blocking the shortest transport routes, including railways, linking the Middle East and China. The consequences of such developments could be unpredictable, and the North-South corridor project, in which Moscow has invested not only politically but also diplomatically, may be jeopardized, the newspaper writes.
According to Izvestia, several European countries, led by the United Kingdom, would like to see the legal status of the Caspian Sea altered to shift the balance of power in the global resource market. The conflict between Israel and Iran could serve as a convenient pretext for concluding agreements without Tehran’s involvement.
The United States has succeeded in implementing a number of projects. The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline and the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas pipeline have helped Azerbaijan enter the Turkish market, and with the help of the Southern Gas Corridor, the European gas market.
Western countries sought to change the balance of power in the region. Against this background, Washington actively supported the expansion of cooperation between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan in the 1990s and the entry of Kazakh oil and Turkmen gas into the world market through Azerbaijan.
Russia and Iran opposed the construction of pipelines along the Caspian Sea bed, but the United States persistently promoted these projects, seeking to reduce the role of Moscow and Tehran.
Vladimir Avatkov, Doctor of Political Science and Head of the Department of the Middle and Post-Soviet East at the Institute of Scientific Information on Social Sciences of the Russian Academy of Sciences, told Izvestia that for many observers, the developments currently unfolding around the South Caucasus have come as a surprise.
"The West’s struggle against us continues, and not only in the context of the special military operation. They use various means: applying pressure here, imposing sanctions there, causing trouble elsewhere, or igniting conflict," the expert explained.
At the same time, Russian political analyst Dmitry Evstafiev believes that the confrontation surrounding Iran should be viewed much more broadly. In his view, the events in the region represent an attempt to implement a British geopolitical scenario.
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