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On the Pokrovsk front, Russian forces have changed their tactics and are now deploying more experienced assault teams of 5–7 soldiers. Volodymyr Cherniak, an officer of the “Rubezh” Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine, says that enemy is also using naval infantry reserves.
According to Cherniak, earlier assaults were mostly carried out by mobilized soldiers with low levels of training, operating in groups of 2–3 people. Now the situation has changed: Russia is using professional naval infantry units, which allows them to assault Ukrainian positions more effectively.
Cherniak also noted that Russian forces exploit weather conditions that make it difficult for Ukrainian defenders to respond effectively to breakthrough attempts. They deploy specially trained units in standard camouflage and with regular weapons to infiltrate Ukrainian positions. But Ukrainian defenders are prepared and on the lookout for any approaching Russians, ready to destroy them with swarms of drones.
The Ukrainians have successfully prevented enemy penetrations north of the railway line, so the Russians want to attack the western flank and advance towards Hryshyne. The Russian objective is to isolate northern Pokrovsk and endanger its supply routes, thereby intensifying the pressure, RFU News media outlet says. Such a disruption could compel the remaining Ukrainian forces to withdraw, as their positions would become unsustainable in an already hard situation. By forcing a Ukrainian pullback to more favorable terrain, the Russian command would avoid direct assaults and house-to-house close-quarter engagements that would otherwise inflict substantial casualties on their units. Russia’s approach to attack Hryshyne bases on the element of surprise and the deployment of quick-moving motorcycles and buggies to mount a lightning assault and drop off infantry inside the village, as it is only 3.5 kilometers away from the Russian-controlled part of Pokrovsk. To achieve this, Russia aims to exploit its consolidation of gains in southern Pokrovsk, which serves as a staging ground for its forces, and the buildings provide partial protection from Ukrainian drones, RFU News says. Another factor is the local road, which is in relatively good condition, leading directly to Hryshyne from Pokrovsk, which allows the Russians to try to push quickly towards the settlement and surprise the Ukrainians. Unfortunately for the Russians, some of Ukraine’s most capable drone units are deployed in this sector, conducting tight surveillance of the area because they expect a Russian attack. The Ukrainian command can also utilize the extensive defensive fortifications, which were built behind Pokrovsk, with the purpose of stopping exactly this type of assault. The beginning of the winter season is an obstacle for the Russian efforts, because despite the presence of tree lines along the roads, they currently provide no concealment, and with the onset of snowfall, even smaller vehicles such as buggies and motorcycles become significantly easier for drone operators to detect.
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