Russia’s long war effort is faltering, despite limited territorial gains in Donetsk during summer 2025. After nearly a year of assaults on Pokrovsk, a key transport hub, Russian forces have failed to capture the city. Ukraine, meanwhile, has retaken over 10 square miles in the area, compared to Russia’s 1.9, according to Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi’s report from August.
Moscow’s losses are staggering: more than one million casualties, nearly 300,000 killed or injured this year alone, and over 4,100 tanks destroyed. Economic decline compounds the crisis, with sanctions, corruption, and reckless spending weakening Russia’s ability to fund the war. Ukraine, bolstered by new weapons like the Long Neptune and Sapsan missiles, continues to innovate and strike critical targets, shifting momentum firmly in its favor.
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