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As expected, Moscow has again increased the intensity of its air and missile strikes, but Ukraine certainly looks stronger in this confrontation at present.
According to famous Western expert Andrew Tanner, the Ukrainians have recently focused on two types of targets: fuel infrastructure – especially oil refineries – and railroads, including both bridges and trains. “By using attack drones to plant enough anti-tank mines to bring down a bridge, sending kamikaze drones to disable much of the enemy’s oil refining capacity, and hitting railroad hubs with UAVs and possibly the new Flamingo cruise missiles, the Ukrainians are clearly inflicting serious damage on the enemy”, he added.
Expert says that and even leaving aside the high probability that Ukraine will unveil its own medium- and short-range ballistic missile designs in the fall to rival ATACMS, already the ability to produce thirty large cruise missiles a month, and over two hundred by the end of the fall, becomes almost a tipping point in the battle for Ukraine. “Since the Flamingos are large cruise missiles, a significant number of them will be shot down, but the use of decoys and attack drones virtually guarantees that in a salvo launch at least some of the missiles will reach their target and deliver a devastating blow to any facility hundreds of kilometers deep into the empire. The warheads and propellant can still be optimized, so that the claimed maximum range of three thousand kilometers is indeed achievable – even taking into account the necessary maneuvering to deceive air defenses – if the size of the warhead can be reduced without loss of destructive capability. Strategic strikes alone do not win wars, but their impact on Putin’s empire could be far more devastating than his own attacks on Ukraine, he added.
Ukrainian retired major Alexey Getman says that all Flamingo missiles launched by Ukraine reached their targets in Crimea, the Russians were unable to intercept them. "This is connected with the attack of our Flamingos. The fact is that the important and main component of any anti-aircraft missile system is the radar station. It is the one that records the flight of the target, captures, tracks and gives the command to the missile launchers to destroy the target. Without a radar station, the missile system does not work completely," Getman noted. According to him, the destruction of the radar from the S-400/300 systems provides a “window of opportunity” for a time. "Obviously, a new station will be brought in if the destroyed one cannot be repaired. Perhaps they will repair it on site. Technical issues still need to be resolved so that it can operate as part of the air defense system. This will take a certain amount of time – hours or a day. And in the place where the air defense has become less dense, we need to launch our attack weapons," the expert explained.
In this way, Hetman noted, by destroying the radar stations of anti-aircraft missile systems, Ukraine opens the way for the flight of its missiles.
"And that is why all three Flamingos that were launched reached their targets. That is, the Russians were unable to intercept them, they arrived and destroyed the objects," he summed up.
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