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As Russia entered 2026, many Russian opposition figures, especially those living in exile, have suggested that Putin is leading their country to disaster. A new commentary, however, more sweeping and damning than theirs was offered by retired Russian Colonel General Leonid Ivashov .
Ivashov is now appearing once again in a different form, this time emerging once again to challenge Russian President Putin, predicting Russian defeat in its war with Ukraine. While the aging Ivashov has previously criticized Putin and his policies, most notably in 2022 when he denounced the war in Ukraine and even called on Putin to resign, his remarks came immediately after Putin’s live call-in address. Ivashov watched Vladimir Putin’s New Year address and delivered a brutal assessment of Russia’s reality. He said he saw no leader, no commander, and no defender of the people. Only a man living in a fairy tale, while ordinary Russians struggle to survive on about 16,000 rubles a month. Ivashov opposed the invasion of Ukraine from the very beginning, and says the last four years have proven his warnings were right. According to him, Russia has failed at every level of the war. No tactical or operational successes, and total strategic defeat. He says industry has been destroyed, science is in crisis, and education has collapsed. Prices keep rising, making people poorer by the day. Healthcare is falling apart, with regions cutting medical spending. Food quality is declining, flooded with palm oil and increasingly unsafe. On demographics, he is even harsher. Ivashov says Russia’s only global “leadership” is in population decline. Men are disappearing rapidly, and the war is only speeding it up. He also rejects the idea that Russia has real allies. North Korea and Belarus, he says, only drain resources. China is not an ally at all, just a Kremlin myth. His final warning is stark. A strategic failure in Ukraine, he says, could lead to the collapse of Russia itself. The retired general’s comments represent his most sweeping condemnation of both Putin and the war to date from within Russia. If Ivashov avoids sanction for this renewed criticism, it could prompt segments of the Moscow elite already uneasy about Russia’s trajectory to connect the dots and potentially coalesce into a more serious and consequential opposition. Ivashov is someone whom all Russians recall as the hero of Pristina. In 1999, General Leonid Ivashov, as a senior Russian military official, led a rapid deployment of Russian forces into Pristina ahead of NATO troops blocking their advance in an effort to assert Russian influence during the Kosovo conflict. His act heightened tensions with NATO, signaling Moscow’s willingness to challenge Western operations and complicating alliance coordination in the region.
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